Podcast Episode
Ryan Detrick: Why This Bull Market Can Survive $100 Oil, 5% Yields & a Fed Hike
About this episode
September may have a reputation as Wall Street’s worst month, but Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, isn’t ready to bet against the bull market.
On this episode of The Money Path, Detrick joins host Todd M. Schoenberger to explain why Carson remains constructively bullish on stocks despite $100 oil, elevated Treasury yields, the possibility of another Federal Reserve rate hike and the seasonal volatility that often hits markets in September.
Detrick breaks down the historical evidence behind his outlook, including why September has behaved very differently when stocks enter the month already higher for the year. He also discusses the technical levels he's watching on the S&P 500 and why continued strength in earnings, employment and broader economic activity could support additional gains.
The conversation also tackles the consumer. Can Americans withstand higher energy prices and borrowing costs? Detrick explains why rising household wealth and continued spending suggest the economy may be more resilient than bearish headlines imply.
And what about a Fed hike? Detrick argues that one or even two additional increases may not be enough to derail the bull market, particularly if economic growth and corporate profits remain strong.
For investors looking beyond the major indexes, Detrick explains why he remains overweight technology while also seeing opportunity in bank stocks as market leadership broadens.
Most importantly, he reveals the three warning signs that could finally turn him bearish: stress in the credit markets, significant U.S. dollar strength and deteriorating market breadth.
Is September weakness a warning—or another opportunity? Can stocks withstand $100 oil and 5% Treasury yields? And what would finally convince one of Wall Street’s better-known bulls that the market has changed?
Watch The Money Path with Ryan Detrick and Todd M. Schoenberger.
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