Best Bets For Texas Vs UTSA/ Best Bets 3 LIVE CALL IN SHOW

TexasVOCFB Best Bets Live: Texas vs. UTSA Hosts: Matthew Miller & Tommy Bresee Sponsored by Fanduel Format: Live call-in show (Thursday, 6:30 p.m. ET) Intro (0:00–0:24) Welcome to another live Best Bets. This is UTSA week after the Ohio State win. Sponsor plug for Fandle; all lines presented by them. Ask for likes and subs. Host Bets — Texas vs. UTSA Emmett Mosley anytime TD (plus money) — Matthew (0:24–0:56) Mosley was the leading receiver last week. Cam Coleman, Ryan Wingo, and the RBs already have TDs. Texas should reward him. “He’s got to score at some point… I think Texas will reward him with a touchdown.” Tommy agrees: the offense was chaotic last week; Mosley came up big in the fourth. Dial one up (screen-and-go or similar) and let him get in the end zone. Texas –30.5 — Tommy (1:39–2:31) “Clean the slate” game after a noisy week. Texas should run all over UTSA and find openings in the passing game. Watch turnovers (UTSA has forced some). Owen McCown is not Arch Manning; expect sacks. Tommy’s score: 52-13. Matthew: 45-10. Both see a comfortable cover. Matthew adds: Texas should dominate both lines. UTSA has one sack on the year. Bigger line than Texas State because UTSA played a closer game last week. Cam Coleman over 66.5 receiving yards — Matthew (3:09–3:38) Wingo popped in Week 1; Coleman was quieter last week. Expect a Wingo-style game (7-121-1 type). A couple of big plays should get him there and “cement himself as a Texas Longhorn.” Tommy: Similar approach to Texas State—fewer passes overall, but when they take shots they put receivers 1-on-1. Coleman could get the number on one play. Texas team total over 43.5 — Tommy (4:17–5:16) Texas should roll out of bed and score 24–28 most weeks. Hit the easy ones in the first half, then control clock with the run game. Want a confidence-builder before the road trip to Neyland. Possible 52-10 or 52-7 type of night. Matthew: If you take the big spread you basically have to take the team total unless you think they pitch a shutout. He sees UTSA scoring 6–13; Texas has a real shot at 50. Texas –17.5 first half — Matthew (4:42–6:05) Least confident of his tickets—they could come out sleepy. Even a C-game should produce two TDs + two FGs. “Two touchdowns and two field goals to me is doable even sleepwalking.” Tommy: After a sloppy first half vs. Ohio State, they should come out attacking. Possible 24-3 at half, then peek toward Tennessee in the fourth. Amari Winston over 2.5 receptions — Tommy (7:01–8:15) Nick Townsend is out (Sark said so today). Winston has been the reliable target in big moments (LSU, etc.). Give him a Gunnar Helm / Ja’Tavion Sanders-type usage before SEC play—target him 7–8 times. He earned it. Matthew: Winston had a two-catch stretch that could have been four if not for drops. Expect 4–5 targets; three catches is realistic. He’s the main receiving threat among TEs with Townsend out. Spencer Shannon is more of a blocker; Michael Masunis is TE4 right now. Best blocking TE room Sark has had. Relique Brown over 63.5 rushing yards — Matthew (9:23–9:53) Reverse of Week 1: Hollywood Smothers popped then, Relique popped last week. Expect a big run similar to Smothers’ Week 1 explosion. Texas over 196 rushing yards — Tommy (9:54–10:23) UTSA gave up 177 to UTRGV and 289 last week. Dominate on the ground, get the OL and RB room confidence before SEC play. Could go for 220. Relique Brown anytime TD — Tommy (10:25–10:46) He ran tough outside one early mistake. All three backs (Brown, Smothers, Derek Cooper) could score; Tommy takes Brown. Caller: Burks (Michigan fan) (10:48–23:31) Congratulates Texas on beating Ohio State. Says Sark needed a win over a ranked non-SEC team. Ohio State fans making excuses; Texas defense gassed OSU and executed three long late drives (15, 13, 12 plays). Hosts: Both teams made mistakes; Texas early, OSU late. Score was about what you’d expect. Fourth quarter was Texas grinding them down, not luck. NIL / recruiting discussion (New York Times report). Ohio State listed #1 but Texas is close. Texas treats the portal like an uncapped pro league—pay 20% more to get a 30–40% better player. Not a high-volume portal team, but high-end portal additions. Push leftover money to premium positions (LT Ishmael Kamara, Easton Royal, etc.). Take ~10% off publicly reported NIL budgets; Texas probably $39–45M range, not the $48–55M floating around. Agents inflate numbers. Michigan tied with Indiana in the report. Burks salty about Michigan’s NIL vs. Texas. Hosts: Larry Ellison is ROI-minded; Texas has more “irrational” oil-money donors who just want to win. Michael Dell is one piece; a lot of unnamed oil money. Need donors who stay out of day-to-day business (has been a Texas problem before). Michigan–Texas comparison: similar public-school athletic departments. Texas is “the Michigan of the South.” Next year’s game in Austin could be huge depending on how both seasons finish (possible Arch/Manning or Kamario Taylor vs. Bryce Underwood). Night vs. day game TBD (CBS/ESPN rights). Other Games They Flagged (23:37–end) South Carolina vs. Mississippi State Tommy’s favorite “barn burner” candidate. Camario Taylor vs. LaNorris Sellers—“the most athletic quarterback battle we’ve ever had.” Turning-point game: one team becomes a dangerous 5–7, the other a 7–8 win surprise. Could decide Shane Beamer’s trajectory. Historical comps floated: Charlie Ward, Michael Vick, Lamar Jackson vs. Deshaun Watson, Cam Newton (none quite match the dual-athlete tools). Mississippi State 3-0 and looking the part; over 4.5 wins already in play if they win this one. Makes Texas’s SEC slate tougher if State is 7–5 or 8–4. Florida vs. Auburn Must-win for Florida if they want a playoff path (Matthew picked them in). Offense/skill and OC are good; defense is the question. Hold teams to 21 and they can ride Jaden Baugh. Both fan bases are looking for a reason not to believe in the current coaches. Ole Miss vs. LSU (night game in Oxford) The marquee. Everything you want in a CFB game. Tommy leaning LSU defense but respects Trinidad Chambliss in big moments. Sam Leavitt injury talk treated as possible Kiffin mind games (last year he put 20–30 guys on the report and most played). Landon Clark is fun but not Chambliss’s twitch. Question Leavitt’s downfield throwing. Texas will see a lot of high-paid QBs this year (Chambliss, Taylor, Leavitt, Jackson, McCown, etc.)—one reason 10-2 is a reasonable landing spot. Housekeeping / Outro Live every Thursday 6:30 p.m. ET (Best Bets + calls). Tuesdays 7 p.m. ET (recap + next-week preview). Postgame show after UTSA, likely 11–11:15 p.m. Like, subscribe, Hook ’em. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.